Chance (YES)
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→ 0
Pool (Shares)
Maker Funds
Fees Accrued
LMSR b (Shares)
Payout/Share (USDC)
Loading question…
YES
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→ 0
Market Rules
| Rule | Details |
|---|---|
| Question | Will Bitcoin fall below $100,000 before January 1, 2026? |
| Timeframe (UTC) | From market open until 2026-01-01 00:00:00 UTC (exclusive). “Before January 1, 2026” means strictly earlier than this timestamp. |
| Threshold | “Below $100,000” means a strictly lower traded price < 100,000.00 USD. A trade at exactly $100,000.00 does not satisfy the condition. |
| Reference price |
Primary: Coinbase BTC-USD (spot). Fallbacks (in order, only if primary is unavailable/erroneous): Kraken BTC/USD → Binance BTC/USDT (treated as USD at 1:1). |
| Trigger | YES wins immediately once a qualifying spot trade prints below $100,000.00 at any moment before the deadline; else NO. |
| Qualification | Spot trade (not quote/derivative) with notional ≥ $10,000 or size ≥ 0.10 BTC. Venue-annulled/error prints are ignored. |
| Evidence | Resolution relies on public trade prints (timestamp, price, size). We archive source URLs/IDs and a UTC capture. |
Your Positions
Total PnL:
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| Side | Entry (¢) | Qty (Sh) | Current (¢) | PnL (USDC) | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | |||||
Order History
| Type | Side | Shares | Price | Block |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connect wallet to load trades. | ||||